Scattered showers with a few embedded thunderstorms will be possible across the greater Fort Smith area Wednesday afternoon and evening. The overall severe weather risk from this is low.
The pattern for Wednesday shows the low pressure in N Texas and S Oklahoma spinning counterclockwise which pushes up south winds along with more moisture and humidity. This will be the fuel for additional showers and thunderstorms over the next several days.
This is Thursday morning. Storms from Oklahoma will move east and affect OZ during the first part of the day Thursday. Being on the north side of the warm front, we’ll have more of a hail risk with any storms that develop.
Our severe weather chances increase Friday and stay elevated into the weekend with numerous scattered showers and thunderstorms possible. The timing is still questionable along with the intensity but it seems to be trending towards the late evening. Again, this will depend heavily on how the morning showers evolve.
On Saturday, the storms out west will again make a run at us towards the latter half of the day. Any storms that develop will have a severe risk.
On Sunday the system finally starts to phase east and move out of the region but not without one more push of strong to severe storms which will end late Sunday into Monday.
With numerous rounds of rain, flash flooding could also become an issue this weekend with the stronger storms.
-Garrett
